Deportivo Merlo vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
LAF
2 - 0
MER
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
SMA
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
JJU
1 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
ARM
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
SBA
3 - 0
MER
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 0
EXC
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
ALE
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
4 - 2
BER
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
POR
3 - 1
ALE
22%
28%
51%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUJ
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |