Deportivo Merlo vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
CHI
18%
24%
59%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
MER
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SUA
1 - 0
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
FLA
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TEM
1 - 0
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CCO
0 - 2
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 1
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAR
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
COL
0 - 0
DEF
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 2
CHI
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |