Primera B Metro. Final
Global 0-0
Deportivo Merlo vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
MOR
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
COL
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CCO
1 - 2
MER
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 3
DEF
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
SAR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
DEF
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |