Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
15º
16º
15º
8
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
MWA
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
LFC
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
RIV
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 3
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 0
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
CSM
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |