Deportivo Lara vs Zulia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
TRU
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
LAR
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 4
LAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 1
ITA
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ZUL
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ZUL
2 - 1
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
YAR
0 - 3
ZUL
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ZUL
0 - 2
TRU
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ZUL
3 - 2
TAC
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |