Deportivo Lara vs UA Maracaibo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ZUL
1 - 1
LAR
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
LAR
4 - 1
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
UCL
1 - 2
LAR
11%
21%
67%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 0
LAR
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
3 - 0
LAR
53%
20%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UA Maracaibo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 3
UCL
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
LLA
3 - 2
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZUL
13%
22%
65%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |