Deportivo Lara vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TRU
1 - 4
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
LAR
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 1
YAR
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 0
ZAM
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 1
MIR
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
YAR
0 - 2
TUC
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 1
TAC
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TUC
2 - 0
ANZ
24%
25%
50%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |