Deportivo Lara vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
LAR
31%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
LAR
15%
19%
65%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 1
DEP
59%
23%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
YAR
0 - 0
POL
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
ULA
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
LAR
15%
19%
65%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +3 |