Deportivo Lara vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 1
LAR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
LAR
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 0
LLA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
2 - 3
UCH
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NOB
3 - 1
LAR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
POR
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
2 - 1
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MON
2 - 3
ZAM
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |