Deportivo Lara vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
LAR
24%
28%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 0
LAR
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 1
CFC
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
LAR
23%
29%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
TRU
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 0
LAR
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
MIL
16%
25%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 0
PAS
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |