Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 3
LAR
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 2
COR
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
COR
2 - 0
LAR
61%
25%
14%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 0
LAR
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LAR
2 - 1
TRU
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
LLA
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
MIN
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |