Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
LAR
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
LAR
27%
22%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 1
LAR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
JUN
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
EST
49%
24%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
ZUL
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 1
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |