Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
URE
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
2 - 3
LAR
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
TRU
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 3
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
TAC
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |