Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARA
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 2
LAR
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TRU
1 - 1
LAR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
EST
33%
26%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
TRU
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
DEP
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 0
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |