Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 2
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TRU
0 - 0
LAR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 4
LAR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 3
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EST
0 - 4
ZAM
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 4
ANZ
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
5 - 1
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 1
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |