Deportivo Lara vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
YAR
0 - 0
LAR
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 0
TAC
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ANZ
1 - 0
LAR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 1
ZUL
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
TRU
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
ATL
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ARA
1 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
ANZ
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |