Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 1-1
Deportivo Lara vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
LAR
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAR
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 0
TAC
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
LAR
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
LAR
5 - 0
ATG
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 1
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAR
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
FAL
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |