Deportivo Lara vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 3
ZAM
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 1
LAR
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 0
TAC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
LAR
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 0
YAR
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
ATL
39%
25%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
YAR
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |