Deportivo Lara vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 2
ZAM
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TUC
1 - 1
LAR
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
LAR
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAC
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
ZUL
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
ATL
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
LLA
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |