Deportivo Lara vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LAR
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 0
UCV
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
LAR
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 2
MET
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 4
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 1
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
MET
25%
30%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |