Deportivo Lara vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
LAR
21%
28%
52%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 2
YAR
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
SAN
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 2
BAR
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 2
GVA
66%
23%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAN
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
ARA
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 2
ARA
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |