Deportivo Lara vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
LAR
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ZUL
0 - 0
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAR
4 - 1
LLA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
MIN
3 - 1
LAR
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 2
TAC
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ZUL
0 - 0
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 1
ANZ
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
ARA
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
ARA
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |