Deportivo Lara vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 3
LAR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 2
ANZ
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 1
LAR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 0
LLA
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
CFC
26%
29%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
ANZ
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |