Deportivo Lara vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CDS
0 - 1
LAR
35%
24%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 1
EST
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 0
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MIR
2 - 1
ARA
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ARA
0 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
ARA
1 - 2
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |