Laferrere vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LAF
4 - 2
CAM
51%
24%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
LAF
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CCO
0 - 0
LAF
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
LAF
1 - 1
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
LAF
0 - 0
JJU
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
JJU
3 - 0
LUJ
38%
28%
33%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUJ
1 - 1
DOC
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
LUJ
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LUJ
2 - 0
CAD
30%
26%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
LUJ
2 - 2
SBA
27%
26%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |