Laferrere vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAF
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
LAF
0 - 0
CAM
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
LAF
1 - 1
LAM
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 1
LAF
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UAI
0 - 0
LAF
51%
28%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
LAM
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
EXC
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LUJ
3 - 0
JJU
39%
28%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 0
LUJ
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LUJ
2 - 0
MID
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |