Laferrere vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
BER
0 - 1
LAF
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
LAF
0 - 1
SAC
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
VSC
3 - 1
LAF
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LAF
5 - 2
FEN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
LAF
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 2
DAL
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SBA
0 - 2
LUJ
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 0
ALE
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
LUJ
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 0
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |