La Guaira vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
7º
3º
14
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
UCV
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
TAC
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DRZ
2 - 2
DEP
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
MET
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
LAN
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
ANG
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
APC
2 - 3
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |