La Guaira vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GVA
2 - 1
DEP
16%
25%
59%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
DEP
25%
28%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
YAR
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
APC
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
DEP
24%
28%
48%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 3
APC
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
LAR
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 1
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
YAR
1 - 3
LAR
20%
27%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GVA
0 - 5
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |