La Guaira vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 2
TRU
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 2
YAR
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
LAR
0 - 0
APC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 3
LAR
25%
29%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 0
TRU
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LAR
2 - 0
TAC
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |