La Guaira vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 3
DEP
22%
24%
55%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 2
MIN
27%
28%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 0
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 2
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 2
CFC
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAR
3 - 2
ZUL
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
LAR
15%
24%
61%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |