La Guaira vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
TRU
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 1
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
EST
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 1
TAC
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
CFC
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |