La Guaira U20 vs Estudiantes Caracas U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
DGU
1 - 2
AVE
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 3
DGU
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
DGU
2 - 3
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
1 - 1
DPE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
DGU
30%
25%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes Caracas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ECA
3 - 1
CAT
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ECA
0 - 1
DPE
22%
24%
55%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 1
ECA
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
0 - 0
ECA
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ECA
2 - 2
AVE
19%
23%
57%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |