La Guaira U20 vs Caracas U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
1 - 1
DPE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
DGU
30%
25%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ECA
2 - 2
DGU
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
DGU
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
2 - 0
CAT
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
MET
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
DGU
30%
25%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
1 - 1
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 8
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
UCV
68%
18%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |