Venezuela League U20 Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
La Guaira U20 vs Aragua U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 1
DGU
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
DGU
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DGU
13 - 0
TUC
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DPE
0 - 3
DGU
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DGU
3 - 2
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
DGU
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
DPE
2 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARA
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 2
AVE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |