UD Móstoles Balompié vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Móstoles Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATZ
3 - 4
MBP
11%
14%
75%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MBP
5 - 0
YSB
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CFM
2 - 2
MBP
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EFC
0 - 0
MBP
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MBP
1 - 2
CAS
50%
20%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
CAS
41%
21%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 0
UNI
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 1
LUL
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MDE
2 - 3
UNI
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 3
AVA
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |