Espoli vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
AUC
0 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CUE
4 - 0
ESP
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
BSC
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
EME
1 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LIG
0 - 0
BSC
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2003 |
LIG
1 - 1
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TEC
0 - 0
LIG
19%
27%
54%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
LIG
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |