Espoli vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 3
MAN
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 0
DEL
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |