Espoli vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESP
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 2
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
DEL
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |