Espoli vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
OLM
1 - 1
ESP
44%
30%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ESP
6 - 2
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
QUI
3 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 2
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
EME
2 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UCE
0 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
OLM
0 - 1
MAC
51%
29%
20%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLM
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |