Espoli vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
CUE
2 - 2
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 1
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 4
EME
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
AUC
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLM
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AUC
3 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 6
LIG
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |