Espoli vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 0
ESP
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
DPT
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 0
ESP
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 3
CUE
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 4
IVT
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
MUS
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
LDU
2 - 0
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
TEC
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
ROU
12%
22%
66%
|
61 | 91 | 30 | -1 |