Dep. Español vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JJU
2 - 1
ESP
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
CAD
39%
29%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 3
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
TAL
21%
27%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 2
ESP
56%
26%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAC
1 - 1
UAI
23%
26%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 1
SAC
66%
22%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
SAC
1 - 1
BER
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SAC
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SAC
2 - 4
CCO
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |