Dep. Español vs Midland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 2
ESP
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
LAM
0 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
RPI
37%
29%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CLA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
27%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MID
0 - 2
LUJ
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 1
MID
51%
25%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MID
2 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LAM
1 - 0
MID
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MID
0 - 0
RPI
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |