Dep. Español vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
30.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
SMG
37%
31%
32%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
JJU
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ARM
38%
30%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
LUJ
65%
23%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LUJ
1 - 1
DOC
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
LUJ
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LUJ
0 - 2
LIN
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |