Dep. Español vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CCO
1 - 0
ESP
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
SMA
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
LUJ
33%
27%
40%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
LUJ
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MID
2 - 3
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
CAA
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
LAM
0 - 1
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |