Dep. Español vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
STM
2 - 1
ESP
26%
29%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 1
DFR
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SAR
0 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 0
COM
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 2
ITA
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
MER
1 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 1
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MER
1 - 1
SUA
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
TEM
0 - 1
MER
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MER
0 - 0
FLA
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |