Dep. Español vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
ARQ
0 - 2
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
TAL
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FEN
2 - 1
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
LAM
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LAF
2 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 2
ARM
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
DOC
3 - 0
CAD
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 1
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LUJ
3 - 0
CAD
32%
28%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |