Dep. Español vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
LIN
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MID
2 - 0
ESP
46%
28%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
LAF
31%
30%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 0
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UAI
1 - 0
ESP
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
CAD
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 1
CCO
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
DOC
2 - 0
CAD
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 0
ARM
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
MID
6 - 0
CAD
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |