Dep. Español vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
ESP
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 0
UAI
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
ESP
67%
22%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 1
ACA
27%
30%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
RIE
3 - 0
ESP
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAL
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
BAR
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
JJU
1 - 2
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |